An amazing event was held in Durban where more than 250 participants mostly from the health sector and from more than 40 countries attended the First Global Climate and Health Summit. It was opened by South Africa's Minister of Health and closed with an inspirational speech by Kumi Naidoo, the head of Greenpeace International who told the health sector gathered there how important they are to addressing climate change. The closer was presented by the Premier (or Governor) of KwaZulu-Natal province who is also a doctor. Seven amazing panels and some incredible Zulu dancers added a powerful cultural element.You can access the Declaration, Call to Action, PowerPoint's and video from the conference at www.climateandhealthcare.org. At the press conference there was a photo opportunity of doctors taking the temperature of a giant inflatable earth and finding that it was overheating. Despite the madness of 18,000 people attending the negotiations, the event, and conference declaration has had resonance well beyond Sunday and well beyond Durban.
Lots of great opportunities have come out of this event to build our work on climate and health. The Summit was organized by a partnership of more than 10 major health organizations from around the world. Our conference Call to Action is a framework that we will use for ongoing collaboration. All of the organizations seem motivated and committed to work on the issue and to continue to build our working relationships. New partnerships are being formed and plans developed. So that's all extremely positive. And it needs to be, given the gravity of the situation.
Global Health Alert: Here's the downside of it all. And it's serious. We are losing the battle; the global and national politics are paralyzed as emissions continue to rise rapidly and climate change impact scenarios get worse and worse--- more and more serious.
We are entering an extremely dangerous moment for the future of humanity. That may sound overblown, but what is clear from the situation at the climate negotiations, is it is not. I'm not writing this note lightly.
To try to put it as simply as possible: the emissions threshold that scientists think might be safe is a global rise in temperature of 1.5 degrees Celsius. We are past that. In fact, we are moving past a 2 degrees scenario. Two degrees is a level at which scientists aren't sure if we will have dangerous climate change that wreaks havoc on global health and ecological stability. That scenario was created a couple of decades ago when we knew less about what the impacts might be and when they might happen (it was sort of a 50-50 shot then). Today we are already seeing impacts that weren't supposed to happen until decades from now. So even 2 degrees is sketchy in terms of what it means and we're not even there yet. On top of that we are now looking more like we're headed toward 3.5 degrees and quite possibly well beyond that given emissions patterns. The implications of this are unknown. But what is clear is that what used to be the worst case scenarios that scientists modelled are now becoming the best case scenarios, and the worst case scenarios are far beyond them. Gains in global health and environmental protection will be overwhelmed and undermined by this kind of climate change. Maria Neira from WHO, usually a mild-mannered organization, got up at a press conference we organized and declared a global health alert.
That's a lay person's summary of the science. Meanwhile, despite over 20 years of climate negotiations, emissions continue to rise--- pretty much in every country. Climate Convention, Kyoto Protocol, etc. have all failed to make a dent in things. To avoid potentially catastrophic climate change they would have to peak in the next few years and then drop precipitously which would require a fundamental restructuring of our economies and societies. In Durban, it appears that the world's governments finally agreed on something. Unfortunately that something is to delay the implementation of a legally binding treaty until 2020 at the earliest. Nine years from now. Imagine that: confronted with the evidence of a looming crisis of unprecedented proportions, they are punting. This is tonic for countries whose politics are largely captured by the fossil fuel industry and/or large developing countries that are rapidly growing based on a coal-based development model. The consensus from those who have followed this process from the NGO side, several negotiators and many in Durban who are familiar with the science is that at the rate we are going, by 2020 we may all be toast. There were some positive agreements coming out of Durban' more clarity on the green climate funds (without clarity on where the money will come from) and a second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol (which Canada promptly pulled out of), but don't be lulled into complacency, the solutions they came up with in Durban are not close to measuring up to the magnitude and gravity of the problem.
What we can do: I write you all this not to take you down and disempower you (it can be quite scary and depressing), but rather to impress upon everyone the gravity of the situation and the need to move beyond business as usual and consider how we can step up our efforts to mobilize the health sector around climate. It is urgent that the health sector mobilize and help build a global groundswell of political pressure to turn this situation around. HCWH and our partners are extremely well situated to do this.
One of the clear points that came out of our post-conference strategy meetings is that if we don't change the positions of national governments we will never have a meaningful global agreement that truly tackles climate change. Such change, people from countries ranging from Australia to South Africa to the US agreed, needs to come from movements from below' especially those that address the link between fossil fuels, public health and climate change and that argue that a clean, renewable energy path is essential to protecting public health.
We need to redouble our efforts and move forward together around the world.
This article was taken from Josh Carliner of the HCWH Global Team's newsletter shared by Judy Bell of Winterskloof Conservancy.